There are so many trends for Royal Ascot that it is highly likely that the winners are going to fall down on at least one, so it is up to you on which trends you place the most importance.

Not many sporting venues are founded by reigning monarchs, but Ascot’s days as a racecourse began when Queen Anne was out riding on the open heath in 1711. The ground looked ideal for “horses to gallop at full stretch” and (perhaps more importantly for the Queen of England) was situated close to Windsor Castle.

Queen Anne offered a prize to the winner of the first race ever held at Ascot. The event was called Her Majesty’s Plate, was worth 100 guineas and consisted of three four-mile heats – although the modern-day thoroughbred was coming into being at the time of the Plate, top-level horse-racing in 1711 was principally between larger English Hunter horses and rewarded stamina over straight-line speed. 

Key Trends

  • In all the races at each Royal Ascot meeting the winner was either the 1st, 2nd or 3rd favourite in more than half of all races! That's quite a statistic considering there are so many runners.
  • Previous course winners do well at this meeting so look out for horses with a C or CD after their name.
  • Aidan O'Brien has had 40 favourites at the meeting.
  • Sir Michael Stoute has had 42 favourites at the meeting.
  • Backing the favourite in all the Group Class races hit a 36% strike rate
  • The worst day for backing favourites is the Wednesday, whilst the best day is on the Friday
  • Outsiders: 42 horses have won at prices of 20/1 or more over the years.

Royal Ascot Day 1: Queen Anne Stakes

  • 15 of the last 17 winners have won over a mile.
  • Only two favourites has won in the last thirteen years.
  • Only one mare has won in over fifty years.
  • A 4 or 5 year old has won every race since 1985.
  • All of the last eleven winners had run before that season.

Royal Ascot Day 2: Prince of Wales Stakes

  • No horse over 9/1 has won in the last 12 years.
  • 13 out of the last 17 winners had won last time out.
  • 12 out of the last 13 winners had won a Group 1 race before.
  • 10 of the last 11 winners had won over the trip before.

Royal Ascot Day 3: Gold Cup

  • Only four 4 year olds have won in the last 14 years.
  • 13 out the last 17 winners were placed last time out.
  • First or Second favourite has won 10 of the last 17 races.
  • Eleven of the last thirteen winners had won at least a Group 2 race previously.

Royal Ascot Day 4: Coronation Stakes

  • 13 of the last 16 winners had ran in a Guineas race that season.
  • 11 out of the last 17 winners were either first or second favourite.
  • Irish trained horses have only won 3 of the last 17 races.
  • Only one horse in 17 years has won this race on her seasonal debut.

Royal Ascot Day 5: Diamond Jubilee Stakes

  • Only 1 clear favourite has won the race since 1997.
  • 10 of the last 15 winners were double figure prices.
  • 4 of the last 11 winners had run at Ascot in the King Stand Stakes.
  • 16 out of the last 18 winners had won over the distance before.
  • Only 1 Irish trained winner since 1993.