After Richmond, What Will Happen In Sleaford?
FOLLOWING the humiliation of Zac Goldsmith and the Lib Dem revival in the Richmond Park by-election, bookmakers William Hill are betting on what will happen in next Thursday's Sleaford & N Hykeham by-election, which the Conservatives are heavy odds-on favourite at 1/33 to win - but whether their percentage of the vote will stand up is another matter - as is who will come out on top of their competitors.
The Tories collected 56.2% of the votes cast at the General Election but Hills offer 10/11 that they will end up with just 43% or less this time - and offer the same odds for them to poll over 43%.
Hills make the Lib Dems and Ukip both 20/1 to win the by election, with Labour at 33/1, while the Lib Dems and Ukip are each 7/4 shots to come out on top in their betting market without the Conservatives. Labour are 2/1 in this market, with Any Other Candidate a 6/1 chance.
SLEAFORD BY ELECTION.....1/33 Cons; 20/1 Lib Dems; 20/1 Ukip; 33/1 Labour
TORY PERCENTAGE OF VOTE....10/11 43% OR LESS; 10/11 OVER 43%
BETTING WITHOUT TORIES.....7/4 Lib Dems; 7/4 Ukip; 2/1 Labour; 16/1 Any Other Candidate
LIB DEMS SEATS AT NEXT GE....7/1 5 OR UNDER; 11/8 6-11; 8/11 12 OR MORE
NEXT PARTY LEADER TO STAND DOWN....2/1 Corbyn; 5/2 Nuttall; 7/2 May; 6/1 Farron 6/1 Sturgeon
MOST SEATS AT NEXT GE...2/9 Cons; 10/3 Lab; 20/1 LD; 25/1 UKIP; 150 GREENS
ELECTION OUTCOME..8/11 Con maj; 13/8 Hung Parliament; 6/1 Lab maj; 28/1 LD maj; 40/1 Ukip maj