Patriotic Punt On Jack Dexter
The money is down for Scottish hope Jack Dexter, as the clock ticks down for Saturday’s feature William Hill Ayr Gold Cup. The Jim Goldie-trained gelding has winning form on testing ground at Ayr, landing the William Hill Ayr Bronze Cup at the track in 2012.
William Hill cut Jack Dexter to 16-1 from 20-1 after some decent support.
“The rain in Spain falls mainly on the plain - but in Scotland it chucks it down everywhere, so punters are showering their bets on Jack Dexter who has proven form on testing ground at the course,” said William Hill spokesman Jon Ivan-Duke. “In all seriousness, Growl is the best-backed horse, but Jack Dexter is also proving pretty popular.”
Of the others, Teruntum Star has shortened to 20-1 from 25-1, while Mythmaker is 25-1 from 33-1 with the sponsor.
William Hill Ayr Gold Cup: 6-1 Growl, 12-1 Nameitwhatyoulike, 14-1 Certificate, Magnus Maximus, Orion’s Bow, Raucous, 16-1 Brando, Hoof It, Intisaab, Jack Dexter, Kimberella, 20-1 Absolutely So, Cornwallville, Final Venture, Hillbilly Boy, Mustallib, New Bidder, Nuno Tristan, Rex Imperator, Solar Flair, Steady Pace, Teruntum Star, 25-1 Aeolus, An Saighdiur, Big Time, Flaming Spear, Get Knotted, Glen Moss, Glenrowan Rose, Johnny Barnes, Mont Kiara, Mythmaker, Perfect Pasture, Pipers Note, Rivellino, Roudee, Son Of Africa, Tatlisu, Toofi, Watchable, Withernsea, 33-1 Ascription, Baraweez, Blaine, Dougan, Farlow, G Force, George Bowen, Hoofalong, Huntsmans Close, Kickboxer, Lat Hawil, Lexington Abbey, Lexington Times, Lulu The Zulu, Mujassam, Muntadab, Ninjago, Poyle Vinnie, Quixote, Red Pike, Seeking Magic, Shared Equity, Sir Robert Cheval, Snap Shots, Sors, Steve Prescott, Zanetto, 40-1 Intibaah, Louis The Pious, Muir Lodge, Swift Approval, 50-1 Anonymous Lady, (EW ¼ Odds Places 1,2,3,4)
Generally, the trends from the turn of the century, show that on quicker ground, middle to high numbers are preferred when trying to find the winner and on slower ground, lower numbers have a better chance.
Winning Stalls From 2000 - 2015
When the ground is slower than good to soft – Winning Stalls: 7, 8, 20, 12, 8
When the ground is good to soft or quicker – Winning Stalls: 22, 16, 10, 2, 6, 22, 15, 17, 19, 19, 8
Low (Stall 9 or lower): 6
Middle (Stall 10-18): 5
High (Stall 19 or higher): 5
First five finishing places (Win, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th)
Low (Stall 9 or lower): 26
Middle (Stall 10-18): 25
High (Stall 19 or higher): 29
WILLIAM HILL AYR GOLD CUP TRENDS
The William Hill Ayr Gold Cup is increasing in quality every year:
Average Official Rating Of The Winner First Five Renewals Of This Century (2000 to 2004): 92
Average Official Rating Of The Winner Last Five Renewals (2011 to 2015): 103 (102.8)
Since the turn of the century, there has been an even spread of 4yo, 5yo and 6yo winners, but 3yo’s have only won twice and horses that are 7yo or older have not won any.
Age Of Winner (2000 to 2015)
3yo: 2 winners
4yo: 5 winners
5yo: 5 winners
6yo: 4 winners
7yo or older: No winners
In terms of the actual weight carried in the race, those in the middle of the weights have won a higher proportion of races
Actual weight carried:
9st 3lb or more: 4 winners
8st 9lb – 9st 2lb: 9 winners
8st 8lb or less: 3 winners
• Nine of the last 16 winners of the William Hill Ayr Gold Cup have been trained by either David Nicholls or Kevin Ryan.
• Horses that don’t make the cut for the William Hill Ayr Gold Cup can run in the Ayr Silver Cup or Ayr Bronze Cup
• No winner aged 7 years or older since Hard To Figure in 1993
• Last year, Don’t Touch was the first winning favourite (6-1) and shortest-priced winner since 3-1 favourite Coastal Bluff won in 1996
• The biggest priced winners since the turn of the century have returned at 33-1 (in 2000 and 2004)
• The average SP of the winner in the last 15 renewals is just under 17/1
• This year’s William Hill Ayr Gold Cup is worth £200,000 with over £680,000 in prize-money across the three day Festival