General Election Politics By Graham Sharpe

Who'll Be In No 10 - And Who'll Be 1st Leader Gone?

IT SEEMS INEVITABLE that at least one, if not more, of the 'Big 4' Party leaders will either fail to be elected or will have to quit for failing to lead the Party to an acceptable Election result - and William Hill make Nick Clegg Even money favourite (bet £1 to make a £1 profit) to be the first to go, with David Cameron 3/1 (stake £1 to win £3) second favourite, Nigel Farage 4/1 third favourite and Ed Miliband 5/1 outsider of the four.

Of the four Hills believe Nigel Farage is least likely to win a seat in Parliament - making him 8/11 favourite to win in S Thanet, while Nick Clegg is 1/2 to win in Sheffield Hallam; (Hills offer 13/8 that both Clegg and Farage win; 7/2 they both lose) Ed Miliband is 1/40 to win Doncaster Nth; David Cameron 1/100 to retain Witney.

**Scot Lab leader Jim Murphy is 11/10 to win his seat in E Renfrewshire- where the SNP are 8/11 favs. Natalie Bennett, leader of the Greens is 28/1 to win in Holborn St Pancras.

FIRST LEADER TO QUIT..Evens Clegg; 3/1 Cameron; 4/1 Farage; 5/1 Miliband.

PRIME MINISTER ON AUGUST 1......10/11 David Cameron; 10/11 Ed Miliband

GENERAL ELECTION OUTCOME(s).....1/9 Hung Parliament; 7/4 Lab minority; 7/2 Con-LD coalition; 4/1 Con minority; 6/1 Con majority; 8/1 Coalition involving SNP; 8/1 Lab-LD coalition; 25/1 Coalition involving DUP; 28/1 Lab majority; 33/1 Con-Lab coalition; 50/1 Coalition involving Greens; 500/1 Lib Dem majority; 500/1 Ukip majority.

LIB DEMS TO be in Coalition govt: 11/8 Yes; 8/15 No.

EU Referendum by 2019?...1/2 No; 6/4 Yes.

WHEN WILL NEXT GOVERNMENT BE CONFIRMED: 2/1 NOT before June 1; 5/2 May 9-12; 7/2 May 13-16; 4/1 Before May 9; 8/1 May 17-31.

LARGEST GENERAL ELECTION BET WITH WILLIAM HILL (or, indeed, ANY bookmaker); £200,000 at 2/9 on Hung Parliament - potential profit £44,444. William Hill predit this will be the first General Election with an eight figure sum gambled.