Politics By Graham Sharpe

What Price VAT & NI To Go Up?

BOOKMAKERS William Hill are offering odds of 8/1 for the rate of VAT to be raised during the lifetime of the next Government, and 1/20 that it will not be.However, they are only offering 2/1 that National Insurance will increase. 'These are two contentious matters and there is considerable speculation that one or the other, or even both, could rise during the lifetime of the next government' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.

RATE OF VAT TO RISE FROM 20% DURING NEXT GOVT?...1/20 NO; 8/1 YES

NATIONAL INSURANCE? - 4/11 NO; 2/1 YES.

WITH THE SNP likely to win a record number of seats at the General Election, William Hill have cut their odds for a second Independence Referendum to take place before 2020 from 4/1 to 7/2, and before 2024 from 6/4 to 5/4. And they are now quoting odds of 5/1 that Scotland will vote in favour of Independence before 2025. 'The anticipated SNP success is likely to create a demand for another Independence Referendum, and we have seen support for that to happen' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.

SCOTTISH INDIE REF TO TAKE PLACE BEFORE END 2020? - 1/6 NO; 7/2 YES;....BEFORE END 2024?- 4/7 NO; 5/4 YES

SCOTLAND TO VOTE FOR INDEPENDENCE BEFORE 2025?- 1/9 NO; 5/1 YES.

OUTCOME OF GENERAL ELECTION...1/5 Hung Parliament; 5/2 Lab minority; 3/1 Tory minority; 9/2 Con majority; 5/1 Con-LD coalition; 7/1 Coalition involving SNP; 8/1 Lab-LD coalition; 12/1 Coalition involving Ukip; 16/1 Labour majority; 33/1 Coalition involving Greens; 33/1 Lab-Con coalition; 100/1 Ukip majority; 500/1 Lib Dem majority.

TO BE LARGEST PARTY after General Election: 2/5 Tories; 7/4 Labour.

WILLIAM HILL have opened a book on which year will see David Cameron stand down as Conservative leader, and make THIS year, 2015, their 6/4 second favourite.

Hills also offer 7/1 that he will depart the job in 2016; 16/1 2017; 16/1 2018; 7/1 2019; Evens (favourite) 2020; 16/1 2021 or later.

WILLIAM HILL...TO SUCCEED DAVID CAMERON AS ELECTED CONSERVATIVE LEADER...9/4 Boris Johnson; 9/2 Theresa May; 10/1 George Osborne; 12/1 Philip Hammond; 12/1 Sajid Javid; 16/1 Michael Gove; 25/1 Michael Fallon;Jeremy Hunt; Esther McVey; Jesse Norman; 33/1 Adam Afriyie; David Davis; Nick Herbert; Nicky Morgan; Rory Stewart; Liz Truss.