The week in politics
Raise a glass to Pub Landlord
THIS WEEK, The Pub Landlord, aka comic Al Murray, unexpectedly burst on to the political scene,declaring he would be standing against Nigel Farage in the South Thanet constituency. William Hill quoted him at 80/1 to pull off a spectacular success- but soon had to slash those odds to 50/1 as his fans jumped in to back the Landlord. Novelty candidates rarely even mange to retain their deposit, and Hills think it is an 11/4 chance that Murray will manage to do so - 1/ 4 that he fails to do so.
He may not win the seat, but Hills make him favourite to win the battle of the also-rans in the constituency, offering him at 6/4 to poll more votes that the Greens and Lib Dems, who are each 7/4 to out-poll the other two.
S Thanet - 4/6 Ukip; 13/8 Con; 7/1 Lab; 50/1 Pub Landlord; 150/1 Green/Lib Dem.
Cameron in multi-Party tv debate?
DAVID CAMERON declared he wouldn't take part in a multi Party leader General Election tv debate unless the Greens are invited. William Hilll believe a solution wil be found and offer 1/2 that he DOES take part in a four or more Party leader tv debate- 6/4 that he does not.
Who'll boss Tories if Cam goes?
WITH SPECULATION that George Osborne will back Boris Johnson (1/100 to be elected at the General Election) if the Tories need a new leader after the General Election, William Hill make the Mayor of London 9/4 favourite to succeed David Cameron, with Theresa May 9/2 second favourite, Osborne himself 10/1; Philip Hammond and Sajid Javid both 12/1; Michael Gove 16/1.
But who's going to win the Election?
WITH THIS GENERAL ELECTION certain to produce a record,eight figure betting turnover for the first time, according to spokesman Graham Sharpe, William Hill wouldn't mind if it had to be done all over again later in the year and have shortened the odds for two General Elections during 2015 from 8/1 to 6/1.
But what will be the outcome of the May General Election? Hills go 2/5 that no one Party will win an overall majority, and also offer 4/1 that it will result in another Con/Lib Dem coalition; 9/2 that there will be a Con majority; the same odds a Lab majority; also 9/2 for a Lab minority government; 11/2 a coalition involving the SNP; 11/2 a Con minority govt; 11/2 a Lab-Lib Dem coalition; 7/1 a coalition involving Ukip; 50/1 a coalition involving the Greens; 50/1 a Ukip majority; 500/1 a Lib Dem majority.'There are nearly as many potential outcomes as runners in a Grand National' said Sharpe.
As to which Party will win the most seats - 10/11 Con; 10/11 Lab.