Politics By Graham Sharpe

Pollsters haven't a clue

TWO MAJOR POLLS issued today are predicting different outcomes to the General Election - with one placing the Tories 6% clear of Labour, and the other Labour 5% in front of the Tories.

Bookmakers William Hill are offering 10/11 that the Tories will win the most seats and the same odds of 10/11 that Labour will do so. 'However,the betting patterns of our clients thus far suggest that there will be no overall majority for any Party but that the  Conservatives will win the most seats, which would probably give Mr Cameron every chance of remaining Prime Minister' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe. 

However, William Hill are currently offering Even money for both David Cameron and Ed Miliband to be the man entering Number 10 to run the country after the General Election.

With the outcome of the General Election looking the most difficult to predict for many years, William Hill have cut their odds for 2015 to see TWO General Elections from 8/1 to 6/1. 'The General Election is likely to produce such a messy vote that any coalition which forms will have its work cut out to survive for more than a few weeks' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe. 'The only certainty of this General Election is that more money will be gambled on it than ever before with the industry turnover likely to approach eight figures for the first time'

William Hill currently offer 2/5 that the next General Election will produce no overall majority for any one Party. They offer 4/1 that the next government will be another Con-Lib Dem coalition; 9/2 a Labour majority; 9/2 a Tory majority; 9/2 a Labour minority government; 11/2 a Lab-Lib Dem coalition; 11/2 a Tory minority govt; 13/2 a coalition involving SNP; 7/1 Coalition involving UKIP; 50/1 Coalition involving Greens; 50/1 UKIP majority; 500/1 Lib Dem majority. 33/1 any other combination or government.

However, Ed Miliband is a 4/5 chance to be the NEXT Prime Minister with Hills, who also offer: 6/1 Boris Johnson; 8/1 Theresa May; 10/1 Andy Burnham; 14/1 George Osborne; Yvette Coooper; 16/1 Philip Hammond; 20/1 Chuka Umunna; 33/1 Nigel Farage.

However, whichever of Cameron and Miliband does emerge on top as a result of the General Election, the other may find it difficult to hold on to the leadership of his Party, and Hills are 16/1 that all four of the current major leaders - Cameron, Miliband, Clegg and Farage - will all still be in control on January 1, 2016.