Politics By Graham Sharpe

Will Clacton Win Reveal More Defectors?

FOLLOWING UKIP’s victory in the Clacton by-election, William Hill are offering odds of just 6/4 that two or more current MPs will defect to the Party between now and the General Election. ‘With UKIP hot favourites at 1/ 4 to acquire a second MP as a result of the Rochester by election any MPs considering whether to jump ship may well decide that there is unlikely to be a better time to do so’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

UKIP are 1/4 to double their total of MPs by winning the Rochester by-election, for which the Tories are 11/4; Labour 16/1; Lib Dems 200/1.

The odds that UKIP will be involved in a coalition government after the General Election have been cut from 25/1 to 6/1 by William Hill following the Clacton by election.

And the country's biggest bookmakers now believe UKIP's most likely tally of seats at the General Election is Five or more, which they quote at 11/8. Hills also offer 2/1 that they will have One or Two; 4/1 Three or Four; and 9/2 None at all.

'Political punters called the Clacton by election correctly, with UKIP going off as 1/50 favourites. And the favourites also won in Heywood-Middleton, but the Coventry client who staked £40,500 on a Labour win to make a profit of just £2500 must be feeling somewhat relieved' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.

HOW MANY CURRENT MPs WILL DEFECT TO UKIP BETWEEN NOW AND GENERAL ELECTION?....Evens None; 6/4 Two or more; 7/2 One

HOW MANY MPs WILL UKIP HAVE AFTER THE GENERAL ELECTION?....11/8 Five or more; 2/1 One or Two; 4/1 Three or Four; 9/2 None.

ROCHESTER BY ELECTION…..1/ 4 UKIP; 11/4 Tories; 16/1 Labour; 200/1 Lib Dems. (Lib Dems 1/ 6 to LOSE deposit; 7/2 to retain it).

NEXT UKIP LEADER…5/2 D CARSWELL; 4/1 P O’FLYNN; 5/1 D JAMES; 6 S WOOLFE; 7 P NUTTALL.

OUTCOME OF NEXT GENERAL ELECTION…..10/11 No overall majorty; 15/8 Labour majority; 3/1 Con-Lib coalition; 10/3 Con majority; 4/1 Lab-Lib coalition; 6/1 Coalition involving UKIP; 7/1 Labour minority govt; 7/1 Tory minority govt; 100/1 UKIP majority; 500/1 Lib Dem majority.

LARGEST SINGLE PARTY: 4/5 Labour; Evens; Cons; 66/1 UKIP.

TO RECEIVE MORE VOTES AT GENERAL ELECTION? 4/11 UKIP; 2/1 Lib Dems.

ED MILIBAND TO STAND DOWN AS LEADER PRE-GENERAL ELECTION?.....6/1 YES; 1/12 NO

LIB DEM SEATS AFTER GENERAL ELECTION….9/4 31-40; 5/2 21-30; 4/1 41-50; 6/1 11-20; 6/1 51 OR MORE; 12/1 0-10.