Odds On Nick's Going Nowhere
NICK’S GOING NOWHERE – BET ON IT
DESPITE the Lib Dems’ Euro election disaster and the criticism being aimed at leader, Nick Clegg, bookmakers William Hill believe he will still be leader when the General Election takes place and make him 1/3 to survive in the role until then, and 9/4 to leave before.
But should he remain in place, Hills also expect him to preside over a significant loss of seats. The Lib Dems won 57 seats at the General Election in 2010 but are odds-on a 8/11 to end up with 32 or fewer next time round, and Evens to score 33 or more.
Mr Clegg is 1/3 to hang on to his own seat in Hallam, but 7/2 to lose it to Labour; 6/1 to the Conservatives; 10/1 to UKIP.
The Lib Dems are just 8/15 favourites to poll more votes than 11/8 UKIP at the Election.
Should Clegg resign or be forced out, Tim Farron is 6/4 favourite with William Hill to take over as permanent Party leader, with Vince Cable 4/1 second favourite.
However, Clegg is hardly the only one of the ‘Big Three’ leaders under pressure and William Hill offer 33/1 that all three will be gone by the General Election; 14/1 just one of them will still be in place; 6/4 any two of them will, but make it 4/7 that all three make it to Election day in charge.
William Hill Political Odds…..
LIB DEM SEATS AT GENERAL ELECTION….33 OR MORE- EVENS; 32 OR FEWER- 8/11
NEXT LIB DEM LEADER….6/4 Farron; 4/1 Cable; 7/1 Davey; 8/1 Lamb; 10/1 Alexander; 20/1 Browne; Carmichael; Laws; Swinson; Webb.
NEWARK BY ELECTION…..3/10 Cons; 9/4 UKIP; 16/1 Lab; 250/1 Green/Lib Dem
UKIP TO WIN ONE OR MORE SEATS AT GEN ELECTION…1/2 YES; 6/4 NO
NEXT GOVT……11/10 No overall majority; 2/1 Lab maj; 5/2 Con maj; 7/2 Lab-Lib; 5/1 Con-Lib; 14/1 Coalition involving UKIP; 66/1 UKIP maj; 500/1 Lib Dem maj; 4/1 any other result (including minority govt)