The latest odds from William Hill suggest that Theresa May has not got a cat in hell’s chance of getting the Brexit bill through Parliament on January 15th and it is 1/7 that she loses the vote. Hills have set the spread at 237 votes (10/11 less than, 10/11 238 or more) well short of the 320 required to pass the bill. “There are only so many times that you can drag yourself off the canvas and things are looking bleak for Theresa May,” said William Hill spokesman Rupert Adams. “The odds suggest she is going to fail by around eighty votes.” UK Parliament To Approve EU Withdrawal Agreement in January 2019: 1/7 No, 4/1 Yes January 15th Vote: 10/11 237 or less, 10/11 238 or more Withdrawal Agreement To Be Approved By UK Parliament Before 30/03/19: 4/11 No, 1/1 Yes 2/1 UK to revoke Article 50 before 29/03/19 UK to have second EU referendum before end of 2020?: 8/15 No, 11/8 Yes Year Theresa May Leaves Office As PM: 2/7 2019, 9/2 2020, 12/1 2021, 10/1 2022 or later
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William Hill are offering just Even money that the UK holds another EU referendum before the end of 2020 and just 5/4 that Article 50 is revoked before the Brexit date at the end of March.
For the first time the odds suggest that Theresa May will manage to get the withdrawal agreement through Parliament, with William Hill offering 4/6 that she does.
The latest odds from William Hill suggest that should there be a Confidence vote in the Prime Minister, Theresa May will come out on top at 2/5. As a result Hills have reopened their betting on the year she leaves office and 2018 has drifted from 1/3 to 7/4.
It has been a long day for Theresa May and the latest odds suggest that she is 1/3 to leave the office of PM before the end of the year. Dominic Raab is the big mover in the market to be the next Conservative Party leader and is now the joint 5/1 favourite alongside Boris Johnson. Jacob Rees-Mogg has also been popular at 6/1, as has Penny Mordaunt at 9/1.
Theresa May has been cut today from 6/1 to 5/2 at William Hill to leave office before the end of the year. Whilst the odds suggest that the Prime Minister should get the Brexit deal past the Cabinet, it is now 4/7 that the withdrawal deal fails to gets through Parliament at first attempt.
Following the Midterm results, William Hill can report one major change in the betting for the 2020 Presidential Election.
The betting for this year’s Edenbridge Bonfire Society celebrity Guy has opened and the betting reflects what a turbulent political year we have had.
Boris Johnson’s odds of being the next permanent Conservative Party leader have been cut by William Hill moving him from third favourite in to joint favouritism.
William Hill are 1/4 that the interest rate will not rise before March 29th 2019, offering 11/4 that we see a further rise before that date.